The trading system that we elect to follow has to be chosen in
accordance to our specific needs and wants: risk tolerance, trading
beliefs, and trading expectations (more on this later). We need to
be comfortable with what we choose to trade, since the good health of
our business depends on the good or bad choices we make from the
start. Everything, from the choice of brokers to the amount of time
allocated for education will come to show later on in your trading. A
smart decision is to allocate time for education and experience
building before you actually trade with real money. There are several
simulated trading platforms that help you get a ¨feel¨ for what you
are about to experience in real life. However, no matter how long you
¨paper trade¨ or how well you do in it; it will NEVER be the same as
trading with real money.
Why could
this be you think? Basically, because you have nothing to lose. When
you ¨paper¨ trade, you have no money to lose, so you do not involve
your HUMAN EMOTIONS. Once you trade with real money, the trading can
and in most cases WILL turn sour in a hurry. This is interesting
don't you think? We can do very well when we ¨paper¨ trade, but as
soon as we trade with real money, we lose; well, there is only one
thing that we can conclude from this then: THE PROBLEM IS
WITHIN YOU my friend, not outside of you.
What is
this problem specifically? Can we fix it? Well, in order to be able
to fix something in the first place, we need to understand it
completely.
Let's now
DEFINE and understand our basic HUMAN EMOTIONS and specifically study
how every one of them affects our mind and our trading. Note
that later on in the manual, we will link all of these concepts
together in order to give you a REAL solution; but for now, let’s
simply understand what the problems are:
PRIDE:
We are
proud to be ourselves. We are the proud and the glorious. We are
invincible when we first enter the world of commodity trading. We hear
stories about how most people don't make it in this business, but we
don't care. We are going to be compared to ¨the best,¨ ¨the big
winners¨; because we trust ourselves and we are proud to be what we
are (we are the innocent beginners). Only later on, do we learn that
the markets will rape our innocence in a very ugly and quick fashion
(unless we become professionals).
When we
are ¨proud,¨ we will tend to bolster our opinion on the market to
anyone and everyone, every chance we get. We will yell our bullish
opinion on this market and our bearish opinion on that market. The
next thing you know, you will be trading on that opinion and die
defending it. You will trade a huge position (since this is almost a
¨sure thing¨ in your mind) and watch the losses grow while you
continue to defend your stance on the market. After all, everyone
knows what you think now, and you don't want to be wrong in front of
them. Completely disregarding signal after signal (to get out) you
continue to hold on to your loser until it becomes HUGE.
¨THE PROUD END UP LOSERS, BUT THE HUMBLE BECOME WISE¨ T.B.
¨PRIDE GOES BEFORE DESTRUCTION AND ARROGANCE BEFORE A FALL¨ T.B.
¨PRIDE LEADS TO ARGUMENTS; BE HUMBLE, TAKE ADVICE AND BE WISE.¨ T.B.
It is the
proud that will always come back into the market after they have lost
time and time again: BECAUSE THEY WANT THEIR MONEY BACK. Every one of
us is guilty of this; the difference between those who eventually
become successful and those who don't is written in this manual (so
keep going!).
¨PRIDE ENDS IN DESTRUCTION; HUMILITY IN HONOR¨. T.B.
What do we do to handle this emotion then?
We stay humble and analyze the markets knowing that they can change at a moment's notice.
We trade what our strategy dictates, and NOT WHAT WE THINK will happen next.
We remain open to new ideas and learn continuously.
ALWAYS REMEMBER: AN OPINION CAN CHANGE AS QUICKLY AS THE NEXT 30 MINUTE BAR THAT FORMS ON YOUR CHART! STAY FLEXIBLE AND ALWAYS KNOW WHERE YOUR EXIT STRATEGY IS.
Do not defend your opinions. THE FUTURE IS AFTER ALL, UNCERTAIN AT ALL TIMES.
¨FOOLS FIND NO PLEASURE IN UNDERSTANDING, BUT DELIGHT IN AIRING THEIR OWN OPINIONS¨. T.B.
EGO:
The ego
is about who you are as a person, what your beliefs are and the way
you were brought up as a child. The ego is like pride, but it is a bit
more personal and longer lasting. This is who you think you are as a
person, your past achievements and your long term goals. You can be
proud of something one minute and ashamed of it the next without any
major impact on your ego. The ego is an emotion that stays with you
throughout your entire life. It is a bit like comparing ROM (ego) to
RAM (pride) if you will. Your subconscious mind will also have
something to do with your ego, but we will discuss this later on.
Your self
esteem cannot be tied into your trading. You cannot feel great one
day when you made money and feel really bad the next day when you
lost. You cannot be Mr. nice guy when you make money and smash the
walls, scream and be in total rage when you lose.
Like Mrs. Ruth Barrons Roosevelth said in an article called ¨trading without ego¨: ¨
Self concept has to be strong and durable and not at the mercy of the current, last, or next trade¨.
You have
to KNOW that no matter what happens in the next trading session, you
are the same person when you walk in and when you walk out. Once you
put on your trading hat, you become Mr. Trader, but no matter what
happens, you will take off your trading gear and go back to what you
were at the start of the day. This means that you will not behave any
differently with your spouse or kids if you had a loss or after you
make a profit. The concept here is simple; DO NOT LET THE MARKETS
DICTATE OR AFFECT YOUR PERSONAL LIFE. If you are noticing that trading
does affect your mood swings in relation to whether you win or lose,
you are in trouble. However, becoming aware of a problem is the first
step towards solving it.
So how does the EGO affect our trading?
When you don't place your ¨stop loss¨ orders with your broker but instead decide to make them ¨mental stops¨ (to get out of a position), you don't want to be proven wrong. YOUR EGO IS DICTATING THE WAY YOU ARE MANAGING YOUR BUSINESS. You can have false FEAR about leaving ¨stops¨ at the mercy of floor brokers who will ¨run¨ them (and execute them), but these are just FEARS that we must learn to control (as we will learn later on).
When you overtrade and ¨jump¨ in and out of many positions with no control over yourself, you want to prove that you can be right. Your ego is dictating your trading by wanting to be proven right, no matter what. (see:
¨The Urge Syndrome¨ below)
• When you grab
a profit too soon. Your ego wants to fill the need to be
congratulated. It is dictating your trading by demanding a
¨pat in the back¨ as Mrs. Roosevelth puts it.
SOLUTION: Manage your business as a business professional; COMPLETELY DETACHED FROM ANYTHING ELSE THAT IS NOT PART OF THE TRADING SYSTEM YOU HAVE CHOSEN.
GREED:
Greed is
our emotion of wanting more and more. We can never have enough, we
will always want a better trade than the last one, a better system
that can make us more money and miss less good entries. Greed is what
makes you take larger risks that can eventually lead to your downfall.
What does
greed do to us? Greed is the voice in our heads that tells us to trade
ten lots instead of trading two. Greed is the one that tells us to
add to a losing position because the ¨profits will be great.¨ It is
also the one that tells us that we could get all our money ¨back¨ in
this next trade if we ¨bet big.¨ We start thinking about huge profits
and what we would do with them and forget that we are taking an even
larger risk. Most of the time, this huge profit will never come.
Instead, we will be left standing with a huge loss which will only
lead us to fail in the long run.
DO NOT SAY ANYTHING OR DREAM ABOUT YOUR FUTURE PROFITS! CONTROL
YOURSELF. TAKE THE TRADE AND MANAGE IT PROFESSIONALLY, WITHOUT ANY
EXPECTATIONS.
Greed
will also be there when we have a good profit going and we don't take
any of it; ¨let it run¨ we say, wanting more and more.
Greed is also the voice telling us
that we should try to buy the ¨exact¨ bottom or sell the ¨exact¨ top
in a market. A little experience will tell you that this is
simply not possible. Do not try to find out for yourself!
We will
further examine ways by which we can control these emotions; for now
however, it is very important that we understand what they make us do.
HOPE:
Hope is
all we have left when it is no longer up to us to get something to
happen. Hope is the one we'll cling on when we have taken a trade and
we want it to move in our direction. As soon as any trade is taken,
we hope. However, after we see that our trade is wrong and we don't
get out, our hope begins to hurt us and becomes ¨pride.¨ ALWAYS USE
¨STOPS¨ WHEN YOU TRADE. You can hope all you want (as long as the
stops don't get hit), but never cancel a ¨stop¨ order hoping that the
market turns around at that level.
NEVER HOPE BEYOND A REASONABLE EXPECTATION.
If you get to the point where you need a miracle to get out of
trouble, your hope has taken you TOO FAR. By this time, you will
usually start to look for different indicators and anything that will
confirm your original position. You begin re-drawing trend-lines
looking at this or that indicator, start listening to other people’s
opinions that agree with yours, etc. If you get to this point, you
know you are in trouble.
NEVER HOPE
TOO MUCH!
FEAR:
Fear is
the body's own natural ¨protection¨ against doing something that can
hurt us time and time again. Fear will come upon us BEFORE we take the
trade ¨I don't want to lose again,¨ ¨I don't want to miss out on this
next trade like I did the last one¨; It will also ¨pop up¨ DURING the
trade: ¨you are wrong, get out before your stops get hit at an even
greater loss.¨
Ironically, this very ¨protection¨ from your brain will be the one
that makes you lose money in the end. Why?
Because it will be the one that
blinds your judgment. It will not allow you to remain objective
through the trading process. You will take small
losses all the time in fear of bigger downfalls (they add up pretty
quickly).
Fear of
¨missing out¨ on a potential profit can also blind your judgment. It
will make you enter the trade ¨as soon as possible¨ on a ¨market
order¨ in order to ¨be in the market at any price.¨ This entry will
be full of emotion and will usually result in bad trade; or at least,
one where we will have to hold our position through a period of
¨account drawdown¨ (more on this later).
To
conclude with this section then:
IT IS
IMPOSSIBLE TO TRADE WITHOUT ALL OF THESE EMOTIONS ABOVE STATED. We
are all human after all. However, we must be aware that controlling
them and keeping them subjugated to a minimum is what we need to do in
order to trade
objectively. We must control every feeling that
we have in order to be able to trade with a clear mind and follow the
strategy we set out to do in the beginning.
How can
we control them then?
This is
not easy to do, but by further examining what goes on inside our
brains, we can attempt to lower these emotional out-bursts.